أجرى المدرب الأسترالي ميكي آرثر مقابلة قال فيها إنه يعتقد أن هجوم البولينج الأسترالي الحالي هو الأفضل في العالم! أنا أتعامل مع هذا بروح خطاب "جلين ماكغراث" التقليدي الذي انتهى قبل الرماد, لكن آرثر لم يقل أنهم كانوا أفضل من هجوم البولينج الإنجليزي (مشكوك فيه بما فيه الكفاية في حد ذاته) ولكن أفضل من كل الآخرين في العالم أيضًا. لذلك ينبغي أن تكون إنجلترا مرتعشة حقًا?
Lets start with current test world #1 side South Africa and compare their bowling talent with the current Aussie line-up
Vernon Philander: 16 اختبارات, 89 wickets @ 17.13
مورن Morkel: 49 اختبارات, 175 wickets @ 29.97
دايل ستاين: 65 اختبارات, 332 wickets @ 22.65
Jacques Kallis: 162 اختبارات, 288 wickets @ 32.43
بشكل عام: 292 اختبارات, 884 wickets @ 26.74
جيمس باتينسون: 10 اختبارات, 40 wickets @ 23.37
بيتر Siddle: 41 اختبارات, 150 wickets @ 28.84
ناثان ليون: 22 اختبارات, 76 wickets @ 33.18
ميتشل ستارك: 9 اختبارات, 30 wickets @ 34.03
ريان هاريس: 12 اختبارات, 47 wickets @ 23.63
بشكل عام: 94 اختبارات, 343 wickets @ 28.91
So — the South African attack have played 3 مرات عديدة كاختبارات بينهما (despite comparing 4 players to 5) and have taken many more wickets at a lower average. They’re also currently world number 1 and you don’t get there unless your bowling attack is in form. As far as I’m concerened there is no further debate needed. But lets just see how England fit in…
جيمس أندرسون: 82 اختبارات, 307 wickets @ 30.14
ستيوارت برود: 57 اختبارات, 195 wickets @ 30.93
ستيفن الفنلندي: 22 اختبارات, 88 wickets @ 28.73
جرايم سوان: 52 اختبارات, 222 wickets @ 28.50
بشكل عام: 213 اختبارات, 812 wickets @ 29.73
The England attack has played more than twice as many Tests and taken more than twice as many wickets. The Aussie’s have a slight edge in the averages but there’s very little in it (0.8 runs per wicket, أو 16 أشواط لكل مباراة). The Aussie line-up is also less versatile (أي. Swann is a much better spinner than anything the Aussies have to offer). Arthur also talked about strength in depth, but with the experienced Bresnan available, and other top bowlers also available England also have considerable strength in depth. In English conditions the England bowlers can reasonably expected to have the advantage — especially with Graeme Swann being so effective against left-handers (The Aussies have 5 left-handed batsmen in their 16-man squad — Hughes, وارنر, كوان, Khawaja and Wade)
بالتاكيد, the Aussies want to talk about bowling attacks because they have major concerns about their batting line up. I would do a comparison, but it’s not even clear what the Aussie line-up will be. In my opinion the only Aussie batsman who would get into the England side is their injured captain Michael Clarke. Cook, تروت, KP and Root are all rock solid and Matt Prior is probably the best keeper-batsman in the world at the moment.
In conclusion: the bowling line-ups may be reasonably evenly matched, but overall there is no contest — England are strong favourites and rightly so. Of course Australia have a decent chance — but they’ll need some luck on their side from injuries, إرم, or the English summer weather. Given no injuries and an even break of weather and the toss I expect England to win as comfortably as they did in Australia last time round — by at least 2 matches. Call it 3–1 or better.
“تظهر الكرة الوردية باللون الرمادي / الأزرق باللون الأحمر / الأخضر الناقص في الرؤية, حسب شدته. قمت بعمل محاكاة مع عمى الألوان…”