لذا, بينما يتجه الاختبار النهائي نحو أمطار غارقة ، يبحث النقاد عن شيء يتحدثون عنه. يبدو أنهم سأموا أخيرًا من أخذ الملوثات العضوية الثابتة في نظام DRS, وليس من الكريكيت أن يركل فريقًا عندما يكونون في الأسفل (أي. أستراليا) لذلك حتمًا تحول الانتباه إلى إنجلترا. يبدو أن الفوز بالسلسلة 3-0 (كما سيتم تأكيده في حوالي 30 ساعة) والفوز 3 ashes series on the trot is a sign that England are “losing momentum”. What nonsense.
The primary reason for all the negativity is the pace of England’s scoring in the 5عشر test — at an “unacceptable” 2 per over. Predictably the pundits haven’t actually said what England should be doing! Perhaps we should be aiming for 3.5 runs per over and ending up all out with time for the Aussies to win, although it would seem to me that really would be handing the momentum to Australia. On the contrary — England are doing exactly what many of the pundits have been calling for them to do for ages — playing the pitch, conditions and bowling that is presented to them. When the poor ball came it was dispatched. What the pundits aren’t being honest enough to say clearly is that England are playing for a draw. Why would they do that? حسنا, perhaps because on a slow pitch, with lots of rain forecast, and with the opposition having nearly 500 on the board after 2 days, winning is vanishingly likely.Could England have won?Assuming the forecast is correct and most of today will be lost to rain, how might England have won the match? Let’s very optimistically assume we could bowl the Australians out in 2 sessions. Assuming the Aussies scored at 3 an over they would be expected to make 180 in those 2 sessions. Add that to their first innings of 492 gives a total for England to get of 672. Nevermind that England haven’t reached 400 yet in this series — how long would be needed to get 672 at a very generous 4 أشواط لكل أنحاء? The answer — 168 overs. So, that would be the 18 المبالغ من اليوم 2, الكل 90 overs yesterday, 30 المبالغ اليوم (the best we can hope for according to the weather) و 30 المبالغ tomorrow.So, if you believe the England could bat over 4 days, إلى عن على 168 المبالغ, في 4 أشواط لكل أنحاء, and then bowl Australia out for 180 in 60 المبالغ, you can conclude England had a chance of winning. Otherwise (مثلي) you can confidently conclude England didn’t have enough time in the match to secure victory and that the most sensible thing to do was to prevent Australia taking anything away from the series, and to take the opportunity for the England batsmen to try to bat themselves into some form.
An additional bonus for England is that after 1 decent innings together Australia now feel like they have a settled batting line up: a line up that doesn’t convince me at all. Steve Smith isn’t good enough to get into any good test side. Shane Watson has once again delivered when it doesn’t matter and continues to look very vulnerable to نقص الوزن عند الولادة. Michael Clarke is still a class batsman but England have got his number — he struggles against Stuart Broad and the short ball in particular and he hasn’t even had a chance to face Tremlett who is likely to feature in the return series. Rogers is a decent player but I can’t see him making many “game changing” scores which leaves the incident prone Warner who is again a decent batsman but thanks to his style he tends to give chances. Rogers & Warner doesn’t exactly have the same ring as Hayden & Langer does itWhen all is said and done this England side have beaten better Australian teams already and have batsmen due back into form. England are rightly sending a message to Australia — give us half a chance and we’ll beat you. Play really well and we’re strong enough to hold you off. Go home with nothing from this series and look forward to seeing us again in 3 شهور.
“تظهر الكرة الوردية باللون الرمادي / الأزرق باللون الأحمر / الأخضر الناقص في الرؤية, حسب شدته. قمت بعمل محاكاة مع عمى الألوان…”