Dit is weer daardie tyd - die nagte is lank, die lug is koud, maar gou die radio sal brand in die lewe en bring die klanke van die Australiese somer in ons ore. Sal Engeland terug te kom uit die vorige kalk met 'n oorwinning (as wat hulle gedoen het in 2010-11, of sal Australië voltooi 'n 3ST afwit in 4 reeks. Ek vir een is weddery dit sal nie 'n trekking wees!
I think this is the hardest to predict Ashes series this millennium — both sides have a decent number of quality bowlers, en eweredig deel 4 of the best batsmen in the game. Both sides also have a recent history of middle order collapse, and a selection of match results that vary from brilliant to truly pathetic. It seems like it might be a case of “who cracks first”.
If England get on top, as wat hulle gedoen het in 2010, the Aussie crowds and press will get at the green-team with a vigour only normally seen in the British press when the footballers fail to materialise. ewe, if Australia get on top then England have a tendency to totally implode as they did in the 2 visits down under either side of their 2010 victory.
Overall the odds must be in the Australian’s favour, something the bookies agree with. They have home-soil advantage and will no doubt prepare pitches that offer pace and seam with as little swing as possible. Fair play to them — I’ve no doubt England will prepare swinging pitches in return the next time our Aussie friends are over here. Die Ben Stokes verhouding (1) has also damaged England’s preparations, and there are some injury problems which could prove significant too.
I think the margins between the teams are quite small, and things beyond human control (Bv. die loot, the weather) could prove crucial. Ek dink ook dat wanneer 'n span kry op die top is daar 'n goeie kans om hulle daar te bly. The difference between a 3–1 victory as in 2010, and a 5–0 defeat, could actually be quite small. If England come away with a draw, hulle sal die Ashes te behou. This will rightly be regarded as pretty much as good as victory and England will rightly get all the plaudits. Planning for victory shouldn’t be the hardest job in the world, so instead — how about we think beforehand about what might happen in the event of defeat.
Let’s imagine the Aussies get a bit of run of the ball, en maak 'n goeie gebruik van dit, and England sink to defeat in the first couple of test matches. Realistically it is unlikely that they could come back from 2–0 down, so the remaining matches wouldn’t really tell us a great deal new. Is there a difference between leaving having lost by 3 of 4 met die span ongeskonde, and leaving having lost 5–0 with the captain in doubt, a leading bowler gone, en 2 of the best batsman gone. I ask because that is what happened in 2013–14, when questions were left hanging over Captain Cook, Jonathan Trott quit international cricket, KP is uitgestoot, en Graeme Swann ophou middel toer. In other words massive mismanagement had managed to snatch a much greater defeat from the jaws of a brief embarrassment. Just imagine the current England team but with KP, Trott and Swann still available for selection — a world number 1 kant sekerlik?
Instead we have a younger less experienced team, but with plenty of quality and plenty of potential. It is essential to the future of the team that such massive failures of management are not repeated on this tour. There is no dominant country in test cricket at present, with Australia, England, Indië, Pakistan and South Africa all capable of being dominant and ruthless, and also all capable of being very poor too. There is nothing to separate these 5 kante. All of them would be favourites in home conditions to beat all of the others. This is particularly so in England’s case, met 2 of the best swing bowlers in the history of the game able to win home matches with regularity, even when the batsmen are struggling.
so, let’s hope the England management have learned from previous mistakes, en in die geval van van nederlaag, find ways to keep the team together, lift the great talent we have, and bring the England team home ready to continue building towards the future. If they can’t do that, wat presies doen hulle vir die span doen?
(1) A footnote on the Ben Stokes affair. This is a worrying sign that England management haven’t learned from the past. Ask yourself this — if it was the other way around and a key Aussie player had assaulted someone in a bar would the Aussies have dropped that player? Or would they have downplayed it, picked the guy anyway, and even gone on to make him vice captain? As jy enige twyfel oor die antwoord moet net vra Joe Root! It seems to me that England management are first and foremost interested in avoiding catching any flack from the media, rather than acting in the right way. Successful management publicly supports their player. What is said in private is no doubt very different. There isn’t even any sign of management taking a grain of responsibility, despite repeated failures to manage players effectively, be it with mental health (Trescothick, Trott), team relations (Swann, KP), or responsible behaviour (Flintoff in pedalo-gate, Root getting punched in walkabout, players urinating on the pitch, en Stokes nou uit op die wimper).
Dink ons het iets gemis? Laat ons weet deur onder kommentaar. As jy wil graag inteken gebruik asseblief die skryf skakel op die spyskaart by die top reg. Jy kan dit met jou vriende ook deel deur gebruik te maak van die sosiale skakels hier onder. Cheers.