ومن ذلك الوقت مرة أخرى - ليالي طويلة, الهواء البارد, ولكن سرعان ما سوف الراديو النار في الحياة وجلب أصوات الصيف الاسترالي لآذاننا. سيأتي انجلترا مرة أخرى من تبرئة السابق بالفوز (كما فعلوا في 2010-11, أو سوف أستراليا إكمال 3الثالثة تبرئة في 4 سلسلة. I ل01:00 الرهان لن يكون التعادل!
I think this is the hardest to predict Ashes series this millennium — both sides have a decent number of quality bowlers, وتبادل بالتساوي 4 of the best batsmen in the game. Both sides also have a recent history of middle order collapse, and a selection of match results that vary from brilliant to truly pathetic. It seems like it might be a case of “who cracks first”.
If England get on top, كما فعلوا في 2010, the Aussie crowds and press will get at the green-team with a vigour only normally seen in the British press when the footballers fail to materialise. بالتساوي, if Australia get on top then England have a tendency to totally implode as they did in the 2 visits down under either side of their 2010 victory.
Overall the odds must be in the Australian’s favour, something the bookies agree with. They have home-soil advantage and will no doubt prepare pitches that offer pace and seam with as little swing as possible. Fair play to them — I’ve no doubt England will prepare swinging pitches in return the next time our Aussie friends are over here. قضية بن ستوكس (1) has also damaged England’s preparations, and there are some injury problems which could prove significant too.
I think the margins between the teams are quite small, and things beyond human control (e.g. إرم, the weather) could prove crucial. وأعتقد أيضا أنه بمجرد أن فريق يحصل على أعلى وهناك فرصة جيدة انهم سيبقون هناك. The difference between a 3–1 victory as in 2010, and a 5–0 defeat, could actually be quite small. If England come away with a draw, أنها ستحتفظ الرماد. This will rightly be regarded as pretty much as good as victory and England will rightly get all the plaudits. Planning for victory shouldn’t be the hardest job in the world, so instead — how about we think beforehand about what might happen in the event of defeat.
Let’s imagine the Aussies get a bit of run of the ball, والاستفادة منه, and England sink to defeat in the first couple of test matches. Realistically it is unlikely that they could come back from 2–0 down, so the remaining matches wouldn’t really tell us a great deal new. Is there a difference between leaving having lost by 3 أو 4 مع فريق سليمة, and leaving having lost 5–0 with the captain in doubt, a leading bowler gone, و 2 of the best batsman gone. I ask because that is what happened in 2013–14, when questions were left hanging over Captain Cook, Jonathan Trott quit international cricket, دفعت KP خارج, وجرايم سوان استقال منتصف جولة. In other words massive mismanagement had managed to snatch a much greater defeat from the jaws of a brief embarrassment. Just imagine the current England team but with KP, Trott and Swann still available for selection — a world number 1 الجانب بالتأكيد?
Instead we have a younger less experienced team, but with plenty of quality and plenty of potential. It is essential to the future of the team that such massive failures of management are not repeated on this tour. There is no dominant country in test cricket at present, with Australia, England, الهند, Pakistan and South Africa all capable of being dominant and ruthless, and also all capable of being very poor too. There is nothing to separate these 5 الجانبين. All of them would be favourites in home conditions to beat all of the others. This is particularly so in England’s case, مع 2 of the best swing bowlers in the history of the game able to win home matches with regularity, even when the batsmen are struggling.
وبالتالي, let’s hope the England management have learned from previous mistakes, وفي حال الهزيمة, find ways to keep the team together, lift the great talent we have, and bring the England team home ready to continue building towards the future. إذا كانت لا تستطيع أن تفعل ذلك, بالضبط ما يفعلون للفريق?
(1) A footnote on the Ben Stokes affair. This is a worrying sign that England management haven’t learned from the past. Ask yourself this — if it was the other way around and a key Aussie player had assaulted someone in a bar would the Aussies have dropped that player? Or would they have downplayed it, picked the guy anyway, and even gone on to make him vice captain? إذا كان لديك أي شكوك حول الجواب فقط أسأل جو روت! It seems to me that England management are first and foremost interested in avoiding catching any flack from the media, rather than acting in the right way. Successful management publicly supports their player. What is said in private is no doubt very different. There isn’t even any sign of management taking a grain of responsibility, despite repeated failures to manage players effectively, be it with mental health (Trescothick, تروت), team relations (سوان, KP), or responsible behaviour (Flintoff in pedalo-gate, Root getting punched in walkabout, players urinating on the pitch, وستوكس الآن من على الرموش).
ما رأيك? Drop us a comment below! إذا كنت ترغب في الاشتراك يرجى استخدام الرابط الاشتراك في القائمة في اعلى اليمين. يمكنك أيضا مشاركة هذا مع أصدقائك باستخدام الروابط الاجتماعية أدناه. في صحتك.